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Recent Posts

January 08, 2005

The Never-Ending NFL Season

My birthday is at the end of January. As a kid I always remembered the Super Bowl being played a few weeks prior to my birthday. That changed about twenty years ago when the NFL moved it back so that it was played right around my birthday, including on my birthday once and on my brother's birthday three times. (He was born two years and one day before me. And always got more than me too!)

Now I see that the NFL has been extended the football season again; the Super Bowl is being played on February 6. Pretty soon it's going to be like the NBA--the season seems to never end.

December 15, 2004

The Sports World's Most Evil

Who are the most evil in the history of sports?

I can think of a few more:

  1. Kermit Washington
  2. Mike Tyson
  3. Todd Bertuzzi
  4. Frank Francisco 

December 04, 2004

Barry Bonds and Steroid Use

Barry Bonds claims to have inadvertently used steroids beginning in 2001 and ending in 2003. This chart shows the number of home runs Bonds hit during his MLB career (1986 to 2004).

Bondshr





As the four period moving average indicates, Bonds' home run performance was increasing with age, peaking at age 32 or 33 (42 and 40 home runs respectively), and then it begins to decline for the next two years. All of a sudden, poof! A surge in home run activity beginning in 2000. And 2001? Seventy three home runs! What an anomaly. If he didn't know, he certainly should have suspected something.

But if Bonds' records are challenged due to his use of steroids, so too must Mark McGwire's be challenged.

November 30, 2004

Average Expenditures on Sports Entertainment

The average expenditures for a family of four to attend NFL, NBA, and NHL games by team. No big surprises except the Buffalo Bills are much lower than I would have anticipated (even though it is a lower income blue collar town they have had fairly consistent success), and the Miami Heat are far higher than I would have guessed (though now with Shaq the price should rise even further).

November 02, 2004

Is the NHL Dead?

Quite likely, at least in its current form.

Consider that the average salary for an NHL player is $1.64 million. That's compared with $1.1 million for the NFL. The blame for salary inflation falls entirely on the New York Rangers, probably the richest team in the NHL. Cablevision, the team’s owner, has allowed management to recklessly spend on player salaries over the past 10 years in a misguided effort to recapture the Stanley Cup, which it has only won once in the past 60 years. Now consider that the NHL's last TV contract paid just $600 million over five years and consider that the NFL's pays $17.4 billion for eight years. Indeed, hockey had the least lucrative TV contract of any major U.S. sport. NASCAR's is $2.8 billion, Major League Baseball's is worth $3.5 billion and the National Basketball Association is valued at $4.7 billion. And that was the old NHL contract, which expired this year. The new one is even less remunerative, paying nothing in rights fees but giving the league a split of ad revenues after costs with new carrier NBC. A look at NHL ratings explains the zero price tag. In 2003, hockey averaged a 1.1 rating, or less than 1.2 million households, for its five televised regular season games on ABC and never rated higher than a 1.4 rating. That's on par with ratings for professional curling. The Stanley Cup, the sport's championship series, rated 2.9 in 2003, down from the previous season. This past season, regular-season ratings remained the same though the Stanley Cup was up slightly. The point? Americans don't very much care for hockey as a game. A recent Zogby International poll revealed that 56 percent of Americans were unaware that there was a lockout in hockey and only 6 percent said they had a "great interest" in watching hockey. Those numbers might go higher after the World Series and after Super Bowl in January but not enough to matter.

Some of the possible changes:
- Fewer teams
- New rules to increase scoring and reduce violence (MS: I'm not certain the latter will increase viewership.)
- Shorter playoff season with fewer teams qualifying for the playoffs.
- Games televised exclusively on pay-per-view.

September 28, 2004

The World's Biggest Welfare Recipients

Peter Angelos, Washington, DC, and Major League Baseball are negotiating a deal to bring baseball to DC. This is just a sop to wealthy owners of MLB teams.

Baltimore Orioles owner Peter Angelos acknowledged publicly today that he is willing to strike a deal with Major League Baseball to allow the Montreal Expos to move to Washington if certain conditions are met.

"Those conditions are the preservation of the franchise, the protection of the asset and the safety of the revenue stream," Angelos said this morning. "If those ingredients are present, an agreement can be struck."

The Baltimore Sun first reported in today's editions that Angelos is willing to make a deal. Angelos has previously resisted financial overtures from baseball, and he has told people close to him that he would take legal action against the league to keep the Expos out of Washington.

Baseball also is believed to be proposing that it will guarantee the amount of annual revenue that the Orioles earn, as well as the team's value, according to two sources familiar with the talks. Under the proposal, Major League Baseball would make up any shortfall if the Orioles' annual revenue falls below an agreed upon threshold, according to sources.

Angelos repeatedly has said that a team in Washington will drain away fans, hamstring the Orioles financially and inhibit the team's ability to compete. Baltimore plays in the American League East Division against two of the richest teams in the sport: the New York Yankees and the Boston Red Sox.

Angelos has failed to improve the Orioles franchise since he bought it eleven years ago. In fact, despite winning their division twice (1996 & 97) the Orioles have not been to the playoffs since, and worse still, they have failed to break .500 the past seven seasons. And this is the deal he gets? I wonder if, since the competition in D.C. may actually force Angelos to produce a better team as well as increase interest in baseball throughout the DC-Baltimore corridor, Orioles ticket sales increase he has to compensate MLB. But I actually believe that the incentive problems inherent in all of this wealth redistribution to wealthy team owners will cause them both to flounder for years to come.

Baseball wants to make the Expos announcement by the end of the week to give the D.C. Council enough time to approve the legislation for a publicly financed, $440 million package to renovate RFK Stadium, and build a new stadium on the Anacostia waterfront. The council must act on the legislation soon to have the money for the RFK renovation, which city officials said will take at least three months.

DC is in a unique situation given its proximity to Virginia and Maryland. Arguments for publicly funding a stadium are usually based on the revenue the stadium will generate from people coming to the stadium and spending money on hot dogs, souvenirs, and the like. But the argument fails to account for the revenue that is now not generated at the theater, restaurants, or stores as a result of the baseball stadium. In other words, revenue generated at the ballpark is just a transfer of spending that would have occured at these other venues. DC will indeed claim that the revenue generated will come partially from people living outside of DC (Virginia and Maryland). But that argument still fails to account for the fact that non-residents who go to games would otherwise not have spent their money in DC at other (non-welfare recipient) establishments.

September 15, 2004

The Market for Football

This was bound to happen sooner rather than later. You can now bid on a professional sports franchise on eBay.

If you’re in the market for an Arena Football League team, log on to eBay. The Indiana Firebirds are for sale with a minimum bid of $1 million. Following Firebirds owner Dave Lageschulte’s decision last week to fold the franchise, a Firebirds exec had the bright idea of posting the team on the auction site. Apparently those on the team were less than thrilled with the concept, but AFL vice president of communications Chris McCloskey told reporters the league probably won’t stand in the way. He said that if eBay can come up with an applicant bearing a net worth of $60 million by Sept. 20, the application will be considered. AFL rules state that an owner must have $60 million in net worth and be approved by 75 percent of the board of directors. With the auction closing Thursday, there have been 21 bids, the highest reaching $2,760,303 from bidder aaronburro.

Bid on the auction here.